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Washington, DC, December 4, 2019 - In the second wave of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos impeachment tracker, released Wednesday, Dec 4, 2019, we find that the public hearings on impeachment do not appear to have shifted American public opinion either towards or away from the impeachable character of President Trump’s actions regarding Ukraine. This 538 Debate/Ipsos Poll was conducted October 7 th to 14 th, 2019 by Ipsos Public Affairs KnowledgePanel® – a division of Ipsos. This poll is based on a nationally-representative probability sample of adults age 18 or older.

The first Democratic debates will take place this week, but all of the leading polls are in agreement about one thing. PredictIt is an exciting new site that tests your knowledge of political and financial events by letting you make and trade predictions. We’re a university-sponsored project set up to research the potential value of prediction markets in understanding the future. Our job is to study the wisdom of the crowd, yours is to make your most educated.

538 Polling Data. There is a scuffle going on between 538 and Huffington Post over polling data adjustments. See this tweet and this article. Reading the debate made me curious enough to check the data for myself so I downloaded 538’s data, which includes the adjustments and made the following viz to see what the trends look like. 538’s primary polling forecasts are pretty accurate. So are other polling averages. It’s better to toss all the available data into a big pot and stir well than to overthink the individual results. Surprises can certainly happen but their impact tends to diminish over multiple races. Tag Archives: 538 polling Election Day will be glorious. Posted on November 6, 2018 by Michael Gray. Reply. Election Day is upon us and just as if it was the 2016 presidential election, the pollsters are all in agreement the Democrats will win the House majority. They believe they can never lose.

538 national polling average for Dec. 4, 2019: Link to tweet. 0. Tweet: If I were to vote in a presidential primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden. 0 replies, 74 views. Thread info Bookmark this thread Trash this thread. Reply to this thread. Back to top Alert abuse. Democratic Primaries Forum Main. Our Data. We’re sharing the data and code behind some of our articles and graphics. We hope you’ll use it to check our work and to create stories and visualizations of your own. Press J to jump to the feed. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. President Donald Trump Trump Administration 12/1 Job ratings 11/26 Favorability ratings.

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